Week 17 SNF Player Props: Hidden Value

Jalen Hurts Over 53.5 Rush Yards -115

I got this line as soon as it dropped on William Hill but the line has moved in a couple spots on different books. Remember to check all your books so you get the best line, it adds up over time. This is playable to 59.5 yards and around -135 odds.

This is far and away my favorite play for all of week 17 right here. Hurts has served as a spark plug for the previously pathetic Eagles team and turned them into a serviceable team. This week they face the Washington Football Team who are in a must-win spot for their playoff hopes in a primetime Sunday night spot with the world watching. Washington definitely has a reputation for their strong defense across the league but that really should scare you, for this play. Teams with mobile quarterbacks have regularly gashed Washington including,

Week 2 Kyler Murray: 67 rush yards
Week 4 Lamar Jackson: 54 rush yards
Week 6 Daniel Jones: 74 rush yards
Week 15 Russell Wilson: 52 Rush Yards.

While Washington may have been effective in their pass defense they have been significantly less successful facing quarterbacks that can run the ball effectively. Hurts on the other side of things has come out the game running both literally and figuratively.

Week 14 vs NO: 106 rush yards
Week 15 vs AZ: 63 rush yards
Week 16: vs DAL 69 rush yards

The first two teams share a common trait with the Washington Football Team, which is their ability to get pressure on the opposing quarterback. That’s a bonus for rushing quarterbacks because when they are forced out the pocket they tend to rely on their legs to gain yards.

Overall Hurts has been a great bet thus far and I think he will continue his rushing success this week.

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Greg Ward o2.5 receptions +110

Ward has been a favorable target for Hurts since he took over the job and has been very reliable. Ward almost plays like a tight end where he is always seemingly open for these short passes when the QB is in trouble. He’s not a flashy player and definitely won’t light up the box score but he is dependable enough to grab 3 balls. The Eagles have a bunch of players sitting out including Jackson and Goedort and Ward will continue to have his steady role in the offense. Ward averages a 90% snap share and 3.5 receptions per game, this play feels like a steal. 110 is good value and that’s what originally caught my eye but after considering more I would still play this up to -120. Good value and a good play for the Eagles offense.

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Terry McLaurin u57.5 Rec yards -110.

Books had this line all over the place this morning and I stumbled upon a really good line at a local book. Most places have settled around 50 receiving yards and I think that’s a fair line. I wouldn’t go any lower than 49.5 though.

McLaurin is one of my favorite players in the league, I just don’t believe he is anywhere near healthy enough to be suiting up. From everything I have read I believe he will solely be a distraction out there and I doubt he gets to 50 yards. Terry has already been held in check with injury and double coverage in recent weeks and it just seems like a trap line to me. He has a perfect matchup against an injury decimated Eagles cornerback tandem but I’m not buying he’s healthy enough to take advantage of it.

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