Justin Herbert Over 38.5 Passing Attempts -105 + Over 1.5 TD’s -182
Over the last couple of weeks we have seen an increase in passing attempts. He’s reached this mark 7 out of the last 8 games. The past 4 weeks he’s thrown the ball 49, 52, 53, and 44 times. The last time he faced the Raiders he comfortably hit this number throwing 42 passes. The Chargers rank first in the league in pass attempts and will look to continue that this week in what I imagine will be a high scoring affair. While the Chargers have struggled a bit in recent weeks I don’t believe they are gonna lay down and give up on the season. Anthony Lynn will be fighting for his job as head coach and he will want Herbert to give it his all out there. While Herbet might be without Mike Williams and Keenan Allen he is no stranger to spreading the ball around and I think we will continue to see that tonight.
As for the touchdowns prop, Herbert has thrown over 2 touchdowns in 7 games during his rookie campaign. The odds aren’t great but I imagine we are going to see a high scoring game tonight and it’s hard for me to see him missing this number.
Darren Waller Over 5.5 or 6.5 Receptions -142 or +108
The guy is a beast and since the Raiders defense has been bottom tier over the last 5 weeks I’m expecting a bit of a shoutout. Waller is the main target of this offense and there is nobody on the chargers to stop him. The Chargers defense has been lackluster and their coverage linebackers and slot corners will not be able to cover Waller. Over the past 4 games Waller has put up:
7-75-0 on 10 targets vs The Colts
13-200-2 on 17 targets vs The Jets
4-23-0 on 7 targets vs The Falcons
7-88-1 on 7 targets vs The Chiefs
Waller has been sensational this season, despite the level of competition, and I believe he continues to dominate this week against the Chargers.
Austin Ekeler Over 5.5 Receptions -112
Ekeler is a great fantasy running back and I think he definitely delivers tonight against the Raiders heavily injured defense. His dual threat ability in the running and passing game makes him the number 1 threat this week. He’s averaging 5.8 receptions per game on 6.8 targets so a 6 catch performance would be par for the course. With Keenan Allen and Mike Williams facing injury problems the Chargers are going to have to lean heavily on Ekelers receiving abilities. While Ekelers biggest weakness has been in the red zone this year but that will really only affect his fantasy value not the betting markets. Overall Ekeler is a great option for tonight’s game and I think he cashes this play relatively easily.
Zay Jones u1.5 Receptions +100 – He hasn’t hit over 1 receptions in his last 5 games this season and hasn’t been a factor for months.
Josh Jacobs o2.5 Receptions +100 – Has been involved in the passing game, if he’s healthy I like this play.
Tyron Johnson o41.5 receiving yards -112 – Someones gotta plug the gap that Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are leaving open.
Hunter Henry Anytime TD +240 – I think we see him improve his redzone role this week due to injuries.