Antonio Gibson Anytime TD +145
I am really not sure what the logic behind the odds being this high are. Gibson has scored 8 TD’s in his last 5 games including 3 in their nationally televised Thanksgiving game. Most of the public, including myself, would bet this at +100 but we are getting +145 at Fanduel and +140 at Draftkings. Gibson has one of the highest redzone snap shares out of anyone one, on any team, and he hasn’t even been the full time starter for the majority of the season.
I love getting RB1 TD props at good value and I’m gonna continue that streak into this week. This Steelers defense is definitely elite but when Washington gets into the redzone Gibson is gonna get the majority of the opportunities. Lock it in.
JuJu Smith Schuster o5.5 Receptions -115 and Chase Claypool o50.5 Rec Yards -115
Washington has been a great defense on the season and looks even better on paper. They have two glaring weaknesses, a shot yardage slot receiver and a deep ball receiver. The Steelers happen to have the top 5% players in both of those categories. This play is also extremely game-script agnostic, Big Ben throws the ball more than most QBs in the league including games when they are demolishing their opponents.
JuJu is averaging 6.8 Receptions for 58.6 yards over his last 5 games.
Chase Claypool is Averaging 5.4 Receptions for 55.6 yards over his last 5 games.
Overall it’s definitely unorthodox too bet on two receivers on the same team against a top 10 defense but I’m confident these guys exploit Washington’s biggest weaknesses.
Raheem Mostert Anytime TD +105
I’m continuing the streak of betting on RB1 TD bets at good value. Mostert missed a month of action but came back and immediately took back the role as the team’s lead back. While he didnt have the best game last week, the important takeaway is that he is the guy in San Francisco. He has played 5 full games and scored two touchdowns on the season, including last week. Earlier in the season he had goalline touches stolen from him by guys like Jeff Wilson JR and Tevin Coleman but they are currently injured.
This play is not too complicated. A team, whose expected to score 3 touchdowns, best running back is in a great matchup and has good value. I’m locking in Raheem Mostert anytime TD. I’ll also probably sprinkle in a first TD at +750 but that’s definitely not something I’m recommending.
Alex Smith o0.5 Interceptions -118.
Smith has 2 interceptions in his last 2 games and 5 in his four starts. Going against an elite #Steelers defense I have no clue why we are getting these odds.
Deebo Samuel o51.5 Receiving Yards -142
Only reason this is not a core play is because of the bad odds at -142. Deebo came back and destroyed last week gaining over 100 yards on 11 receptions. If he can torch an elite Rams secondary, I’m confident he can get to 52 yards against the Bills.
JD McKissic o3.5 Receptions +120
McKissic has seen his role decrease in recent weeks but he’s gonna be needed against the Steelers. If Washington is put in a situation where they are down then McKissic is gonna see his target share increase, he is currently the more trusted receiver and pass blocker. This play is game script dependent but if you think Washington will be trailing then its definitely not to crazy,