Week 12 MNF Betting Overview and Player Props.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-6-1) vs Seattle Seahawks (7-3)

We are in store for an entertaining matchup between two teams fighting for their respective divisions.

Despite the Eagles 3-6-1 record a win tonight would put them in the division lead and would significantly increase their odds of winning the division.

This game will also be a rematch of last year’s wild card game which resulted in a Seahawks 17-9 win. The Eagles are currently 6 point underdogs with a game total of 48.5. There is a lot to watch out for in tonight’s matchup so let’s get into my favorite player props:

Carson Wentz Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns +102 

With reports coming out that Jalen Hurts will be having a bigger role in the Eagles offense, Wentz won’t only be fighting for the division lead. For the last couple weeks we have seen Carson Wentz struggle behind a weak and injured offensive line and he’s gonna need to step it up tonight on primetime.

While he has struggled this year he has been consistent in hitting this number, throwing over 1.5 TD’s in 60% of his games this year. This play is also fairly game script agonistic, if you think (like I do) that the Seahawks will come out to an early lead the Wentz is gonna be forced to throw himself back into the game. If you are one of the 15 Eagles fans that think this game will stay close then it’s gonna have to be on the back of Wentz. Either way, I see multiple ways he gets to this number and the + money is good value.

Chris Carson Over 50.5 Rush yards -111   +

Carson Anytime TD +110

When will everyone stop underestimating running backs coming off injury? Over the last couple weeks we have seen Miles Sanders, Christian McCaffery, and Nick Chubb come off the Injury List to monster games.

Over the last couple years, Pete Carroll has shown that when a guy comes back, he doesn’t hold back. We can expect Carson to get back his regular workload from Carlos Hyde and DJ Dallas.

Before Carson’s injury he hit this number in 4 out of 5 games and since he’s been gone the team’s running game hasn’t been the same.

Overall, this number is just too low. Carson is the team’s best running back and getting him going is going to be a key to the Seahawks offense tonight and for the rest of the season.

As for the TD, getting a RB1 at + value for a touchdown prop has been extremely successful for me this year and I’m going to continue to ride that. He has 6 TD’s in 6 games this year and I think we see him continue that streak tonight.

Boston Scott Over 8.5 Receiving Yards +105 

This play is definitely a little more risky but I have confidence. Scott has hit this number in 4 of his last 4 games and 3 of the last 3 games that Sanders has played in. His Role definitely decreases with Sanders coming back but he still gets on the field for passing downs. This play depends a lot on the game script, but I believe Wentz will need to throw the ball a lot to say close. Scott really only needs 1 or 2 catches to make this work and I think he gets the job done. 

Tyler Lockett Over 5.5 Receptions -132 

This play is fairly simple, while Lockett has been inconsistent on the year he is still one of the most efficient receivers on a per catch basis. Lockett averages over 8 targets per game and controls a 24% target share in one of the best offenses in football. The Eagles on the other hand struggle defensively and will most likely have star defensive back Darious Slayton covering DK Metcalf. Slayton has had a lot of success on the year, especially covering the deep ball, and that should lead to more targets heading Lockett’s way. Lockett while have control of the short to intermediate passing game from the slot and Russ should be able to connect with him at least 6 times. 

Lines from DraftKings and Fanduel Sportsbooks

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