While this may not be the most impressive slate in recent years we can expect to see the 3-7 Texans take on the 4-6 Lions at 12:30 to start out the day. Then the 3-7 Washington Football team will face the 3-7 Dallas Cowboys for the division lead, surely an intense matchup everyone in NFC East is looking forward to.
Lions vs Texans: Texans are 3 point favorites with a game total of 51.
Washington vs Dallas: Dallas are 3 point favorites with a game total of 46.
Even with the cancelation of the headlining Ravens vs Steelers game there is still plenty of money to be made on Thanksgiving. Let’s get into the props:
Amari Cooper Over 51.5 Receiving Yards
The tough part about writing these articles and publishing them later is that lines are bound to move and odds are bound to change. While I got this play almost immediately at 51.5 yards we have seen it rise across multiple sites up to around 60 yards. I think this play has enough value where I would be willing to chase up until 60 yards so keep that in mind. Despite inconsistent quarterback play this year Cooper has still been the man in Dallas. He’s hit this number in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of 10 this year, this number is too low even if you take into account Washington’s impressive defense. Cooper has weathered the constant QB shuffling like a pro and I wouldn’t consider that to be a big negative on thanksgiving day. All signs point to Amari Cooper comfortably hitting the 51 yard mark.
Antonio Gibson Anytime TD +110
Gibson has been the sole endzone threat for the frail Washington offense. He has scored 5 times in his last 5 games and in their week 7 matchup against the Cowboys. Even when losing snaps to JD McKissic in the rushing and receiving games he’s still consistently been the redzone option after the week 1 Peyton Barber experiment. Washington was able to run all over this week Dallas defense in week 7 and there’s no reason to expect that will change on Thanksgiving. This play sat around -110 last week (where he also scored) so it’s really surprising to me that the books are laying + money. There really isn’t to much to it, this is great value on a good young player and I’m confident in Gibson.
Marvin Hall Over 39.5 Receiving Yards -112
With Kenny Golladay out Marvin Hall has become Matthew Stafford’s favorite deep ball receiver. Hall has hit this number in 2 of his last 4 games and is currently averaging 18 yards per reception this season. In the games where he did hit this number he had receptions of 55 and 73 yards respectively, a real boom or bust kind of player. Overall this game has the highest total of all the thanksgiving games and your counting on Hall slipping away from the lackluster Houston defense for 1 big play. This play is definitely risky but in a game with a lot of offense and no clear #1 for Detroit I think betting on Marvin Hall to hit 40 yards isn’t too much to ask for.
Additional Thanksgiving Plays: Will probably add more on twitter until gametime but I enjoy having alot of skin on the thanksgiving games. Not recommending these plays unless you’re going all out.
Antonio Gibson Over 2.5 Receptions +105
Jordan Akins Over 30.5 Rec Yards -118
Terry McLaurin Anytime TD +135
Deshaun Watson TD +200
Lines from Draftkings and Fanduel Sportsbooks.