Alright turkeys, lets get into some stacks, must plays, and other considerations for your Daily Fantasy Football lineups ahead of the two extremely mediocre matchups we’ll see tomorrow. While the Thanksgiving NFL slate is a tradition, it often disappoints. This year seemed like a sure-fired hit with the Steelers vs Ravens AFC North showdown slated for the primetime game to serve as the dessert to your dessert. However, 2020 is a cruel year and we can’t have anything nice.
The Houston Texans have been as good offensively the last few games as they are bad defensively. Deshaun Watson had 380 of the Texans offensive production last week. Out of the 4 quarterbacks starting tomorrow, Deshaun Watson has to be the most trustworthy of the bunch with the highest ceiling and the safest floor. He is averaging 26.2 Fantasy Points Per Game at Home and 22.6 points away. Last game he had 34.4 Fantasy Points.
The Detroit Lions Defense is not very good and struggles to defend the pass. This will play in Deshaun and his receiver’s favor.
Stack Options: Watson-Fuller, Watson-Cooks
Both Brandi Cooks and Will Fuller have been great since Bill O’Brien was finally fired by the Houston Texans. Cooks is seeing big time targets each game with over 5 in each of the last 4 games and 8 or more in 3 of those games. He has recorded 50 yards in all but one of his last 4 games as well. The touchdowns leave a lot to be desired, but he is giving you 10+ points in each of his last 4 outings.
Fuller has similar production, but his ceiling is so much higher than Cooks. Fuller has an unique ability to get behind a defense for a bomb touchdown pass. There are going to be opportunities for Fuller to do just that on Thanksgiving. He has seen 5 targets in each of his last 4 games as well, but only recorded 50 or more yards in 2 of those games. He’s had a touchdown in 2 of those games as well. Consider adding Jordan Akins to either of those stacks, too. If the salary cap looks bad and like T.J. Hockenson won’t fit, Akins could be a nice, cheap option for your DFS lineup.
Matthew Stafford was flat out awful last week against the Carolina Panthers. He was also missing the majority of his weapons and he will see some of those back this weekend. While we’re not sure that D’Andre Swift will play, it does appear that he will still have Marvin Jones Jr and the Houston Texans are still terrible against the pass. Stafford is significantly better at home averaging 22.8 points per game vs 14.7 points per game on the road. This really great matchup for Stafford could be the stuffing you need to fill up your DFS Prize Winning Turkey.
Stack Options: Stafford-Jones Jr, Stafford-Jones Jr-Hockenson
The explanation for the Marvin Jones Jr play is simple – he’s the only option. He has seen 5 or more targets in 3 of his last 4 games and recorded over 15 points in 2 of his last 4. He is also really cheap at $5,500 especially considering he’s a #1 option now. Jones should have a nice day against a terrible Texans secondary.
T.J. Hockenson has been fantastic at the Tight End slot this year for the Detroit Lions. He’s seen 5 or more targets in 3 of his last 4 games and has had over 50 yards in 2 of those games. He’s scored a touchdown in just 1 of those four games, but his price is reasonable at $4,700. None of the other tight ends playing tomorrow offer the consistency Hockenson does. If you’re going to play Stafford and Jones, just throw Hockenson in, too.
Washington Football Team
I expected Alex Smith to explode against a bad Cincinnati team last week, but he did not do that. He threw for just 166 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception and just 9.34 fantasy points. A huge yikes in that department, no doubt.
However, he is facing a Dallas team that is also pretty bad and that could give him the opportunity to bounce back and play well. Adam Thielen had a lot of success last week against that Cowboys secondary with 123 yards and 2 touchdowns on 8 receptions. Cousins also had a nice game with 314 yards and 3 touchdowns. Smith could be an interesting start here.
Stack Options: Smith-McLaurin, Smith-Gibson, Smith-McLaurin-Gibson
If you’re going to start Alex Smith, you have to stack him. Period. You need to stack him with either Antonio Gibson or Terry McLaurin. Both of these guys are standout fantasy performers and have more than earned your faith and your salary cap space. You’re going to be tight with cap space for other options, but the Dallas Cowboys could come back to Earth and show that they are bad football team with a bad defense. The Washington Football Team defense is much better than Minnesota’s and they should control the time of possession and scoring opportunities for the Cowboys better.
The three-headed stack will cost you $18,400 and leave you with $5,266 per player left. It is likely the cheapest trio stack you’re going to find this week.
I cannot in good faith suggest you stack any of these players. Simply put, the inconsistency of this team is not worth starting. Ezekiel Elliott is no longer the back he once was in this offense and he will struggle mightily against the Football Team’s front 7. Andy Dalton could have a decent game, but he is too inconsistent to trust. There are more competent options available. If you want to take a flier on a Cowboys stack, then do it in a cheap guaranteed prize pool game. Maybe stack Dalton-Zeke-Lamb?
I’m not even confident in that suggestion.
I’ll be back later this week with more stack options ahead of the Sunday slate. Until then, eat lots of turkey, sleep off that weird t-word that turkey has in it, and have a safe, healthy, and happy holiday!