Chicago Bears (5-4) vs Minnesota Vikings (3-5)
The Bears are attempting to get back on track after back losses to the Saints and Titans. The Vikings on the other hand are hoping to continue their success coming off of back to back wins against the division leading Packers and the Lions. In the last two games the Vikings have enjoyed seeing their star running back Dalvin Cook rush for 369 yards and score 5 touchdowns on the way. The Vikings are currently 3.5 point favorites with a game total of 43.5. As for the weather you can expect temperatures in the mid 40’s and wind speeds near 15mph, which isn’t too bad considering the weather we’ve seen this week.
Dalvin Cook Over 86.5 Rushing Yards -110
If you’ve seen just a glimpse of what Dalvin Cook has done these last two weeks then you’re probably gonna be betting on this line with me. So far this season Cook is averaging 122.6 yards per game and 6 yards per carry. The Bears defense is borderline elite and contains star players like Khalil Mack and Roquan Smith but I don’t believe that is enough to stop Cook. While I will concede that his yards per carry numbers may drop the Vikings offense will be run through the arms of Dalvin Cook. If you believe that the Bears defense will be able to effectively eliminate one of the most dominant rushers in the league for four quarters then this bet probably isn’t for you. But, if you believe that the Vikings will have any success at all then you’ve got to understand that their ability to perform in this game is dependent on Cook.
Bonus Dalvin Cook Bet: Over 2.5 Receptions +100
If you believe the strong front 7 of the Bears is gonna wreak havoc on Cook then its very possible that they would try to get him going with a couple designed pass plays. With the strength of Bears pass rush It’s easy to see Cook being the recipient of a couple dump off passes and I’m happy to lock this in right next to his rush yards prop.
Nick Foles Over 1.5 TD Passes -120
There are 2 main reasons this play appeals to me. The Bears have been the single worst rushing attack in the NFL. Without starting running back David Montgomery they are stuck with Ryan Nall, Cordarrelle Patterson, and newly elevated Lamar Miller. I personally have no interest in depending on this three headed mess to accomplish anything on the ground, let alone score against a stacked box from the Vikings. If the Bears are going to keep this game close they need to throw the ball in the red zone and barring any spectacular circumstances Foles will be the guy. The second reason is Foles and Matt Nagy are fighting for their jobs on national TV and a poor performance from either of the two could be the last straw for their respective careers. Nick Foles has hit this prop the last 2 weeks and I’m counting on him to continue the streak.
Jimmy Graham Over 32.5 Receiving Yards -110
If someone told me at the beginning of the season that I would be betting real American dollars on the back of Jimmy Graham, I probably would have laughed at you. Nevertheless, it’s week 10 and I’m locking and loading this receiving prop at 32.5 yards. So far this year, Graham has averaged just over this number at 33.6 yards per game on 3.9 catches per game. Things have been trending upward for Graham these last couple games. In 4 out of his last 5 games, he’s hit 5 or more receptions for 30 or more yards. This uptick in production is a good sign and there is no reason he won’t be able to capitalize on his recent increase in target share. If you have a moral stance against wagering hard earned money on washed up tight ends, then I fully understand.
*Odds via FanDuel and DraftKings*