Alright, so lets talk about NFL Week 10 being the best week of scheduled games so far this year. We have pivotal matchups in the NFC West, NFC East, an intriguing matchup between Houston and Cleveland, and an awesome potential Sunday afternoon delight between the Buffalo Bills and the Arizona Cardinals. Obviously, this is going to be a great day to watch football as a fantasy football player, fan, or gambler.
Last Week’s Results
Before I get into this week’s sleepers for each position, lets talk about how I did with last week’s recommendations.
- Tua Tagovailoa – 21.42 points
- Kyle Allen – 2.48 points *left with injury*
- Antonio Gibson – 11 points
- J.K Dobbins – 4.25 points
- David Johnson – 1.6 points *left with injury*
- Jerry Jeudy – 22 points
- Cole Beasley – 5.4 points
- Marvin Jones Jr – 11.8 points
- Randall Cobb – 3.8 points
- T.J. Hockenson – 12.4 points
- Giants Defense – 13 points
- Texans Defense – 4 points
I wanted to provide these to give myself some accountability for my actions. Of the plays I suggested, I’m happy with a handful of them. Tua obviously worked out very well, Jeudy was an awesome play, and the Giants Defense was an awesome suggestion. I busted on a few and 2 players left with injury, but overall, not a bad week of suggestions.
Without further adieu, lets get into some sleepers for NFL Week 10.
Instead of giving you a long editorial version of my recommendations for each position, I’m going to simply list a few of the guys and give you some backing information.
Baker Mayfield ($7,000)
Mayfield faces the Houston Texans defense that ranks 24th against the pass this season. Consider that Chubb will back this week when considering this play and Odell Beckham Jr is out for the year, but the Texans defense is absolutely horrible and the secondary should not stop anyone while the defense provides close to zero pressure on Mayfield to find his receivers.
Tua Tagovailoa ($6,800)
I’m not sure Tua qualifies as a sleeper based on last week’s performance, but he’s just $6,800 this week and faces a Chargers defense that is in the middle of the pack against the pass. The Chargers have shown to bend, break, and give up leads often. The Miami Defense is good enough that they should give Tua plenty of opportunities to be on the field racking up fantasy points for your lineup.
Alex Smith ($6,500)
Smith was once considered one of the safest players to start in PPR and Standard Fantasy Football Lineups. His freak injury set him back from being the starting quarterback in Washington. However, Kyle Allen’s injury gives us Alex Smith the starter again and he’s facing a Detroit Lions team that is very friendly to opposing quarterbacks. Last week, Smith threw the ball 32 times for 325 yards with a passing touchdown. He did throw 3 interceptions which set back his fantasy scoring, but the Lions should be more forgiving. At this low price, you could take a risk on Smith to make room to stack some Green Bay Packers players, if you’d like!
You know, I really don’t like many of the running back options this week. I can wrap this section up pretty quick as I think this is a week that you need to pay the dollars needed to start Alvin Kamara, Aaron Jones, and/or Nick Chubb. I know I’m stacking big salary on running-backs this week.
Antonio Gibson ($6,100)
Gibson shows up on my list again this week because he’s solid and consistent. He’s also facing a Lions team that ranks 30th against the run. The lions are giving up 186.5 scrimmage yards per game and 32.7 points per game to opposing running-backs. Simply put, you need to take a risk on Antonio Gibson this week to offset the cost of one of the premier backs.
Duke Johnson ($5,800)
I’m going to mention this is a stacks article later on tonight, but Duke Johnson is a decent suggestion for a starter this week. He will be getting more attempts with David Johnson out and that paid off last week as he had 16 rush attempts, 40 rushing yards, a touchdown, a fumble, 4 receptions and 32 yards receiving for 13.3 yards. This is production that is very much worth $5,800. Cleveland ranks 14th against the run, but a putrid 25th against the pass. Jonson could give you some unexpected boom potential as this Texans vs Browns game has shootout potential.
Jamaal Williams ($5,600)
Many people are going to sleep on Williams with Aaron Jones back, but the Packers clearly like this guy. He is averaging just 9 touches per game when Jones plays, but the Jaguars could trail big early and give Williams an opportunity to get some time. He is a cautionary sleeper that I would only consider if you cannot afford a few hundred dollars more to play Duke Johnson or Antonio Gibson, but there is some potential for Williams here.
Many receivers in the league this week are facing awesome matchups that could really help your fantasy team. Here are a few options from potentially high scoring games that I really like this week.
Terry McLaurin ($7,000)
Finally appearing in the top 15, McLaurin seems like a safe play this week. Outside of a tough matchup against the Rams, McLaurin has been as consistent as they come. He has scored 10 or more points in 6/8 games this week with 4 of those games over 15 fantasy points. The Lions are 19th against the pass, but this is a really intriguing matchup for the Washington Football Team. Its hard to believe, but I think stacking WFT players this week could be very beneficial in a lineup. I would imagine most of you create multiple lineups, consider McLaurin and a WFT stack in one of them.
Brandin Cooks ($6,300)
The once highly sought after Cooks has had a tumultuous couple of years, but he has been awesome since Bill O’Brien was fired. For some reason, he’s still super cheap and way down the rankings each week on FanDuel.
Do not forget about the Texans receivers no matter how bad that team is.
Their defense is so awful that Deshaun has to throw the ball. A lot.
Cooks has seen 12, 9, 9, and 9 targets in the last 4 games. He has had over 50 yards in each of those games and a touchdown in 3/4 games. The lone game he didn’t score, he still had 9.5 points. Cooks is a cheap play and a dynamic option. The Browns defense isn’t good against the pass and they will struggle mightily to cover both Fuller and Cooks. A Texans stack is a sneaky play this weekend that could be very, very cheap.
Curtis Samuel ($5,700)
Samuel has seen 14.3 points, 19.4 points, and 22.3 points in his last three games. Nobody benefits more from McAffery’s absence than Samuel. It is absolutely worth putting this man in your lineup this week. He is seeing 5+ targets in each of his last 3 games and 4/5 games.
Rashard Higgins ($5,500)
I recommended Higgins two weeks ago, but that clearly didn’t work out because of the weather in Cleveland. Higgins will have another opportunity this weekend against a bad Texans secondary. He should see increased targets due to the matchup and could exploit the 23rd ranked Texans defense for a big day.
Josh Reynolds ($5,000)
The Seattle Seahawks have the worst passing defense in the NFL. It is a shocking thing to admit, but its very obvious at this point in the season. If the Seahawks are able to cover anyone, they won’t be able to cover Kupp, Woods and Reynolds. Reynolds has scored a touchdown in 2 of his last 3 games and has seen 5 targets in each game. He has over 40 yards in each of those games. If you stack your team heavy with premier players, Reynolds could be a nice play for cheap that can give you good production in the flex position.
Tight End and Defense
I usually don’t have many suggestions at the tight end position as I believe its one you need to pay for. However, Austin Hooper is facing a Texans defense that is currently 10th in the NFL against opposing tight ends. He has had 5+ targets in each of his last 3 games with 50 yards in 2/3 and 1 touchdown. He has also brought in 5 receptions in each of those games. Hooper is just $5,100)
From the same game, Darren Fells is $100 cheaper at $5,000 and has seen touchdowns in 2/3 games. He has scored 10+ points in 2 out of three games and 50+ yards in 2 out of three games. The Texans are weird with Tight Ends, so this is a cautionary tale, but there could be some buyer’s remorse here. Fells could be a sleeper for you and score a touchdown, but Hooper is a safer bet for $100 more.
While the Seahawks Defense is atrocious statistically, they’re not too bad for fantasy purposes. Last week, they had 7 sacks and put up 3 fantasy points despite giving up a boatload of points. The Seahawks Defense has seen 5+ points in 5/9 games this year. The Rams offense doesn’t exactly light up the scoreboard, so at $3,700, the Seahawks could give you a decent amount of points as they have recovered multiple turnovers in all but 1 game this year.
Goff has shown to be turnover happy, so the Seahawks could be a sneaky start for a big day.
*All salary cap prices are from FanDuel*