NFL Week 9: DFS Deep Cuts

“Hey, play your old stuff! Yeah, the one that actually had good tips unlike your massive bust last week.”

I know, I know. I’ve been afraid to revisit last week’s recommendations because they ultimately didn’t do too hot.

While I had a great hit with Giovani Bernard who gave you 62 yards rushing, 3 catches, 16 yards receiving and 2 total TDS (21.3 FP), I also recommended Kirk Cousins who absolutely sucked. (10ish FP, I’m not even going to look up the real number, I just know it was 10).

So, lets improve this week. However, lets talk about something that is really important to Daily Fantasy Sports and can really help you pull away from the pack in your daily contests. We need to talk about ownership.

For the first two weeks of my fantasy articles, I’ve been giving you sleepers that can save you Draft Cap to play the big time studs like Derrick Henry, Calvin Ridley, Davante Adams, etc. However, the other side of that coin is that sleepers are not often owned by everyone that entered FanDuel contests. One of the benefits of doing research like you’re doing right now is that you get to see a variety of suggestions from different bloggers and “experts” that can help you see who everyone is high on and what diamond in the rough might be worth a start. If you catch the right guy that is seldom owned by other players, that can be a huge advantage to your DFS lineup.

Anyway, lets get into this week’s Sleepers and/or Value Picks at each position!

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Photo Credit: Dolphin Nation

Quarterbacks

When looking at FanDuel, you can sort by Best Matchups and Best value which I highly recommend exploring in the future. This isn’t a guarantee that these players will have the best opportunity at being sleepers, but it does show you some players that the system thinks have a high chance of doing well this weekend.

Tua Tagovailoa

I don’t think a lot of people are going to be excited about Tua going into this week’s matchup against the Arizona Cardinals. The fact of the matter is that Tua wasn’t very good last week despite the Dolphins as a team being fantastic. He threw 22 times completing 12 passes for 93 yards, 1 touchdown and fumbled for a pathetic 5.72 points. However, its encouraging that they decided to throw the ball 22 times with him despite the Dolphins’ defense shutting the Rams down.

In addition to this, Tua started for the first time against one of the best defenses in the NFL this year. In fact, the matchup ranked as 5th toughest matchup for opposing quarterbacks last week. This week, he faces the Arizona which is a considerably better matchup for him. The Dolphins’ defense has proven to be very good, but the Cardinals offense is explosive and can put up a bunch of points on anyone. Unless Tua is benched for some reason, he should have plenty of opportunities to not only throw the ball, but to be required to move the ball quickly downfield and throw touchdown passes.

At just $6,700, he is a good option for your lineup this weekend.

Kyle Allen

I’m going with the man, the myth, the legend, the future hall of famer himself, Kyle Allen as another sleeper/value pick at $6,800.

In his last two starts, Kyle Allen has had 17 fantasy points. He was a bit disappointing from a fantasy standpoint against a bad Dallas Cowboy defense, but he threw 25 times for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns chipping in an additional 11 yards on the ground. From a pure production standpoint, he was excellent. The New York Giants is his next matchup which should afford Allen an opportunity to throw for more yards and, more importantly, gain yards on the ground while under a pass rush.

Will Allen give you top-tier QB production? Probably not, but you he can save you room in your budget for other big time players at the skill positions.

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Photo Credit: USA Today

Running Backs

The running position has been a wild one this year with injuries and some of the top position players suffering injuries that have taken them out for multiple weeks at a time. However, there are a few names that could be worth a plug-in if you don’t trust some of the top names.

Antonio Gibson

Gibson comes in a at a sleeper/value pick this week despite ranking as the 11th best option for the position this week. He’s still considered someone that would come in as a RB2, but we could see RB1 production from him this weekend.

Against the Dallas Cowboys, Gibson rushed 20 times for 128 yards and a touchdown. He is typically involved in the passing game receiving 3 or more targets in all but 3 games this season. His ground yardage can be concerning for a running back, but he has also had over 10 points per game in all but 3 games this season. Against the New York Giants, we should see a lot of of rushing attempts and an attempt to get a lead with Kyle Allen throwing the ball all over the yard and then a strong ground game to control the clock.

At just $6,200, Gibson is a strong consideration for your DFS fantasy lineup this weekend

J.K. Dobbins

Dobbins had an absolute breakout last week against a really tough Pittsburgh Steelers defense. The man ran the ball 15 times for 113 yards racking up 12.6 fantasy points.

Is this explosive, mind-bending, Million-Dollar Contest winning production?

No.

However, I expect Dobbins to continue to be involved in this offense and receive even more production. The Ravens are facing a Colts team that looked great offensively last week, but ultimately hasn’t been great most of the year. The potential for the Colt’s offense explode and John Harbaugh’s commitment to the run game paired with Mark Ingram on track to miss yet another game, Dobbins will be looked to often this weekend.

At just $5,300, Dobbins is worth a look in your flex position.

David Johnson

The Texans offense has been much better after the departure of Bill O’Brien. In the Texans last game, Johnson was involved in both the passing game and the run game despite facing a big deficit. This is encouraging for potential fantasy options as he has amassed over 10 points in all but one game this season despite the Texans often trailing.

Last time Johnson faced the Jaguars, he ran the ball 17 times for 96 yards with 2 receptions for 7 yards. (11.3 points) While that isn’t mind-blowingly awesome, the Jaguars run defense is awful and the Texans will likely run the ball a lot against this team. Johnson comes in at $6,800 which is a bit steep for an average of 12.2 points per game, but this could be a nice game for Johnson with an opportunity to top his season high 18.4 points against the Kansas City Chiefs.

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Photo Credit: Broncos Wire

Wide Receivers

As I’ve mentioned in other articles, the Wide Receiver position is full of potential breakout stars who can make a massive impact on your lineup for really, really cheap. Lets look at some options for your lineup.

Jerry Jeudy

The Denver Broncos have been a shockingly competitive team this season and Jeudy should be a core piece of that. He’s not averaging an eye-popping number at just 7.6 points per game on his 51 yards per game average and scoring just 1 touchdown against the New York Jets.

Enter the Atlanta Falcons.

I don’t care that the Falcons have picked up a couple of wins now. The defense is still bad and Jeudy will be playing in a dome. This will be just his 2nd “easy” matchup that he will face giving him an opportunity to have a nice game. Jeudy has seen 5 or more targets in all but 2 games this season. He has had multiple catches in every game this season, but hasn’t turned them into large amounts of yardage. That could all change this weekend facing an Atlanta team in a dome providing perfect opportunity for Jeudy to make his $5,700 value a steal.

Cole Beasley

Nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills. Nobody circles receptions like Cole Beasley (since Julian Edelman is on IR).

Listen, Beasley is a monster PPR machine. The dude doesn’t rack up touchdowns or yardage every game, but he can pop off a bunch of receptions and yards helping out the erratic, permanently under pressure Josh Allen. Beasley was disappointing against New England with just 2 receptions and 24 yards, but that was by far his worst game of the season.

Beasley has seen 5+ targets in all but 1 game this season. He has had multiple receptions in every game. The last time Beasley faced a team with as porous of a pass defense as Seattle, Beasley racked up 11 receptions for 112 yards and 16.7 fantasy points. The Seattle Seahawks are going to push the ball down the field and force Josh Allen to play catchup or score a ton of points in an effort to ward off that high-powered Seahawk offense. The weather doesn’t appear to an issue tomorrow, either, so this could be a great game for Beasley to grab a ton of yards and maybe even a touchdown for just $5,300.

Marvin Jones Jr

Does Marvin Jones Jr count as a sleeper? I think we’re all aware of his potential, but he has been inconsistent this year having 10 or more points in just 3 games this season. His yardage has been terrible, but he did see 7 receptions and 2 touchdowns on 39 yards last weekend for a nice 17.4 points.

This weekend, the Lions head to Minnesota to play in a dome against the Vikings who still have Kirk Cousins and still suck even if they did beat Green Bay. You have to assume that Jones is going to see a bunch of targets. He has seen 5 ore more targets in all but 2 games this season, but just hasn’t turned them into much despite facing favorable coverage in most games this year.

At $6,100 he might be worth a look due to matchup, but I’d consider the other two options for less money first.

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Photo Credit: Bleacher Report

Randall Cobb

A Houston Texans stack this weekend might not be a bad idea especially with the lower cost of some of the role players. Cobb has seen decent work most of the year receiving multiple targets and reeling in multiple catches. He has also seen 5 or more targets in 4 of his last 5 games. Cobb is becoming a good weapon for Watson who had 8 receptions and 95 yards against the Green Bay Packers before the bye week.

Cobb is just $5,200 this weekend facing a terrible Jaguar defense. Last time he saw these Jaguars he had caught all 6 targets for 47 yards. This is another receiving option that could save room in your budget to play Dalvin Cook at running back this week.

Tight Ends

Okay, I don’t have any recommendations here, but T.J. Hockenson is just $6,000 facing a bad Minnesota defense. Yes, he’s a top 5 option every week, but seriously why not start him basically every week?

Defense

I don’t know that we can really call defense a “sleeper/value” position, but I want to point out something shocking I noticed this week.

The New York Giants defense might be a good start most weeks. The Giants defense at just $4,100 has had 5 or more points in 5 out of their last 6 games. Even against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they had 4 points. The last time the Giants faced Washington, they had 8 points recovering a fumble, recording an interception and sacking the Football Team’s quarterback 3 times. They have had 2 or more sacks in every game this season and have recorded turnovers in all but 1 game this year.

I would also consider the Houston Texans at $3,700 who sacked Minshew 4 times and recovered 2 fumbles for 9 total points against the Jaguars October 11th.

My Texans bias may have shown this week and I’m fully aware they are a terrible, terrible football team. However, this is a nice matchup for them and who cares if they win or lose when you just need them for your DFS lineup, right?

I hope you enjoyed these Sleepers this week. Let us know how our suggestion do every week by tweeting at us @shootsportsish!

*All fantasy points and player valuations are sourced from FanDuel*

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About the Author

Tony

Tony is one of the owners and founders of Shooting the Sports Ish. He is a long time fan of sports, specifically College Football, College Basketball, the NFL and the NBA.

Tony is the host of Hoop, There It Is, Quick Slants, and Southern Showdown on Shooting the Sports Ish bringing 3 years of podcasting experience including audio and video editing skills.

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